Duckpond

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG – SOME REGRETS

Duckpond - September 3, 2010 - 11:08pm

My camera still worked then I fell over again, and this time hit my face on the ground. Dexter and Sasha were doing their job, turbo-charging up the embankment.

I screamed out but nobody took any notice of me.  So much for melodrama. I was also experiencing cramp in my legs which is my kidney problem adding to my circumstances. The real problem is that the thread on my shoes has worn away.

A few things might have happened but didn’t. I could have been wearing my glasses. And I could have brought a new camera. Therefore, I consider myself fortunate.

Here are the final photos: Read more »

WHO AND WHEN?

Duckpond - September 2, 2010 - 2:32am

The negotiations to form the new government are such fun we might have them after every election, but this is a once in seventy years event.

Of course, it would be even more fun and more democratic if the negotiations occurred prior to the election.

James Farrell at Club Troppo unlocks the key deduction. The three Independents have consistently stated they seek stability while at the same time preserving their position with respect to the balance of power. As Peter Costello points out they are all experienced politicians, and have longer experience than than the Prime Minister. Tony Windsor has had previous experience in the role of an Independent holding the balance of power. James Farrell defines stability at having the key support of the group of Independents, giving the Minority Government a one seat majority plus the Speaker on key votes in the House. The four Independents have he suggests to pick the same side. Read more »

WHO WILL FORM THE MINORITY GOVERNMENT?

Duckpond - August 31, 2010 - 3:40am

For most of us, I suspect, uncertainty is a challenge. Despite that, the hanging question is who will form the Minority Government – Labor or the Coalition?

I am guessing there will be a Minority Government. While the Independents have conflicting interests there overriding self interest is to maintain their political leverage, and therefore to be in a position to gain benefits for their electors. Independents with long standing agendas can only flourish when the hold the balance of power. For example, and I suspect it is not generally known there are present six Independent members of the NSW Legislative Assembly. The situation was very different in 1991, when Dr Peter McDonald, Ted Mack, Clover Moore, John Hatton, and surprisingly Tony Windsor held the balance of power. Read more »

FAMILY AFFAIRS

Duckpond - August 29, 2010 - 8:32pm

After taking the dogs out this afternoon, I went to see my neighbour and friend. As you do,when I arrived I could tell something was wrong.

His son, Ian, has recently come out of hospital after receiving chemo-therapy. I was shocked and saddened to learn that Ian’s son, Adam, had died overnight from cancer.

We are mortal beings, so we have to anticipate death. Ours and those around us. I am not sure that death, or its imminence, puts everything in perspective, although it focuses our attention. Sometimes, modern medicine can save us from the experience, and we go back to our familiar ways. To deal with death, it is helpful to have had the experience. Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG: BE HOME SOON

Duckpond - August 28, 2010 - 1:55am

As reported last week the camera is broken, or more exactly the zoom is not automatic. I can still take photos, so the dog blog survives for the moment.

Some of the photos are very blurred, so I need to figure out what I am doing. Sasha never looks glum when a walk is on offer which she is quick to perceive. Dexter’s great party trick is to raise the dust confirming the observation that ground is dry.

Read more »

STAYING THE AFGHAN COURSE

Duckpond - August 26, 2010 - 3:42am

And going where, who knows? On the news of the latest death of an Australian soldier in Afghanistan, the Defence Minister comes on with the boilerplate, as per Dan Oakes and Tom Hyland in The Sydney Morning Herald:

”I’m sure this loss, coming so soon after the recent losses, will cause some to question why we are in Afghanistan .. Our work there is absolutely vital. This soldier and his fellow soldiers have been doing the difficult but essential work of training and mentoring the Afghan National Army.”

The odd thing is that the soldiers were apparently out on patrol, and engaged the Pastun National Resistance in a three hour fire fight, without reinforcements. The latter point according to military expert has some significance. The question might be asked as to how many of the native people, the Pastuns were killed defending their land. Read more »

THE PARLIAMENT HANGS

Duckpond - August 24, 2010 - 3:24am

As Malcolm Fraser taught us in 1975, the Australian Parliament consists of the Senate and the House of Representatives. So it is technically the House of Reps in which neither major party has a majority to form a government.

The situation will become clearer when all the votes have been counted and in close contests recounted. According to the AEC, just over 75% of votes have been counted. If the current ABC projections are correct, the situation may be the major parties have equal number of members, 73 each, and the deciding votes will be controlled by the three Independents with the solitary Green. It is possible that new National Party member for O’Connor, Tony Crook, will choose to act as an Independent. Read more »

2010 ELECTION RESULT

Duckpond - August 22, 2010 - 12:37am

Tonight it looks as if the ALP has lost and the Liberals have not won. The government will depend on the Independents and the Green Party member.

One of the longer term Independents is likely to be Speaker, which may represent the first Independent Speaker in Australian history. The ABC has the current situation as:
LNP 72
ALP 70
IND 4
GRN 1
Doubt 3

Earlier in the night, Antony Green called 73-72-4-1.
On this basis neither of the major parties have a majority in the House of Reps. These outcomes could change with pre-polling, postal voting and recounts.

Amazingly, the Senate count was completed tonight, and it looks as if when the new Senate is formed next July that the Greens will hold the balance of power.

It would be inconceivable to me that there will not be recriminations with the Labor Party for losing the way. In the meantime Julia Gillard remains acting Prime Minister. Read more »

WHICH WAY IS THE WIND BLOWING?

Duckpond - August 20, 2010 - 4:32am

To win Government, the Liberal/National coalition would have to win 16 seats. I haven’t a clue what will have happen, but I think that is unlikely given the lack of substantive policy, illustrated by their broadband shambles and their costing mess.

So much for the claimed credentials as good economic and financial managers. Still, apparently internal ALP polling suggests that they could lose 20 seats, via Mark at Larvatus Prodeo. As Tony Abbott observed those figures were released for a reason. Bribes will work for swinging voters, as illustrated by the person who insisted in this question to Julia Gillard: What’s in it for me? It is a very good thing that people change their minds and their political allegiances and in the process change the government. I doubt very much whether boats and deficits will be as persuasive as a national broadband and climate change policy and the sense of economic well being. I don’t think there is a pervasive atmosphere of fear. Read more »

SENATE VOTING AND PREFERENCES

Duckpond - August 18, 2010 - 4:19am

The marginal seats will be the focus of attention on Saturday as they will determine who be the next government. Perhaps in this election more attention will be given to the Senate vote.
Read more »

THE LATHAM OPTION

Duckpond - August 16, 2010 - 3:33am

Former Opposition Leader and the leader of the ALP, Mark Latham, has recommended that people cast blank ballots.

The Sydney Morning Herald reports:

THE former Labor leader Mark Latham used his guest reporting role with 60 Minutes to call on voters to follow his example and leave their ballot papers “totally blank” on Saturday.

Mr Latham, who said he would not support any party in the poll, criticised Labor and the Coalition for “dumbing down politics and turning it into a beauty contest”.

. . . Mr Latham’s report ended with his call for Australians to engage in the ultimate protest vote and not mark their ballot papers, a move reminiscent of the political activist Albert Langer’s advocacy of a tactical vote to deny preferences to the bigger parties. It is not illegal to advocate an informal vote. Read more »

CRITIQUING BLOGGING

Duckpond - August 15, 2010 - 12:17am

The comment facility is open here, and I appreciate that most people do not wish to say that I have being grossly in error, showed my ignorance, or some other transgression of good form.

I am not sure that I would appreciate such  comments anyway, which I suppose, on reflection, is a distressful lack of commitment to truth.

Despite the onset of other forms, such as Tweets, blogging is new. I imagine it took a while for the commentary writers on the Bible, the Quran, or the laws of the Romans to learn how to do that well and what commentaries should be followed. When used well linking is a very powerful resource. I fall short of realizing this potential.

Arthur Silber, via Chris Floyd at Empire Burlesque, writing in the context of understanding the Wikileaks log of war presents a critique of blogging. The media has created, he suggests, a culture of instant analysis with one story soon forgotten when the next hot issue comes along. He then observes: Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG- TAILS AND HEADS

Duckpond - August 14, 2010 - 1:46am

Sasha had her last stitch removed from her toe operation, and she accompanied Dexter on the excursion with a soft rubber glove on her foot as a precaution. As always she seems pleased to be out.

Going up to the dam, the road has gravel, and once we get to the top there is no place I can tie up the dogs  to give them the clue to pose for the camera. As it was, Sasha poked her head around a tree, while Dexter came and licked me on the face. So I settled for what I could get. I don’t think they can read my mind, or at least I can’t read their minds

Read more »

DISGRACEFUL, SHAMELESS AND DISAPPOINTING

Duckpond - August 12, 2010 - 2:53am

But what could be expected of such politicians, but perhaps they denigrate the profession they pretend to represent. Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott are the classic examples.
Read more »

WAR CRIMES TRIAL

Duckpond - August 10, 2010 - 3:28am

The fact that celebrities are involved in the sordid affairs of a former dictator now facing trail at The Hague is attracting the attention of the news media.

Who knows, who cares about such people, other than the fact the trial is going ahead. One day it might be hoped they will catch up with the big time mass murderers. We can only hope they day will arrive soon.

Nevertheless, The Independent carries the details of a diamond given to a model, and there was a witness account by an actress. Exciting stuff. Joe Sinclair, Press Association reports the details:

Supermodel Naomi Campbell named Charles Taylor as the person who gave her a “huge diamond”, actress Mia Farrow told the former Liberian leader’s war crimes trial today.

Farrow contradicted Campbell’s account that she was given two or three “dirty looking pebbles” but did not know what they were or who they were from. Read more »

THOSE DREADFUL PROGRESSIVES

Duckpond - August 7, 2010 - 11:38pm

Things are crook in Mollymook. I am reduced in this election period to quoting Miranda Devine.

She has got it in for those people who she describes as “the progressive left”, whoever they many be. I thought I would give Miranda “the oxygen of attention”. She writes in The Sydney Morning Herald:

The parlous state of Labor this election is a direct reflection of the tin ear of the progressive left. Again and again, smugly, arrogantly, patronisingly, progressives declare themselves to be moderates, claiming to represent a reasonable ideological middle ground, while showering the real moderates, who they dub ”right-wing”, ”conservative” or ”extremist”, with abuse – subtle and not so subtle.

. . . Progressives keep trying to redefine the centre in their own image, instead of adjusting their expectations and accepting the reality of a public far more entrenched in conservatism and commonsense than they can imagine. Read more »

ECONOMIC CREDIBILITY AND POLITICAL LEADERSHIP

Duckpond - August 6, 2010 - 2:18am

One of the striking different things about this election campaign is the two major proponents, the champions of the major parties throwing down the gauntlet, do not have any economic credentials.

Of course, election campaigns are targeted on the voters who will determine the outcome, and that means that people like me will be left out the conversation and debate, to the extent that such democratic discussion is occurring at that level. I am not interested in what they regard as issues of importance or the bribes that are on offer. And yet when I talk with my 93 year old neighbour there is a conversation going on, occasioned by the election, if between taxi drivers and passengers, and perhaps between neighbours as well. Otherwise, I was thinking, I will ignore them. Read more »

PERSONALITY AS FATE

Duckpond - August 4, 2010 - 12:25am

I suppose that intelligence might have something to do with personal outcomes but personality seems to play in the workplace.

Many employers use personality test apparently to identify whether prospective recruits will fit in, and they may well be wise to do so. One of my teachers used to say that personality was a gift. I have to say my personality has never worked for me in any workplace I have been in. Most workplaces are not designed for individual differences, and if they were perhaps productivity could be significantly boosted. Personality is a form of individuality that you share with other people and the things that you do not share, that in fact drive you nuts about others until you realize that is the way they are. Read more »

24 HOURS NEWS TELEVISION

Duckpond - July 28, 2010 - 2:47am

I don’t watch television, and I was sceptical about the innovation of ABC 24 News expecting it to be a race to the bottom, with Fox News as the model, yet I have to admit they seem to have done good on the question of mental health.

ABC Online reports:

Prime Minister Julia Gillard announced on Tuesday that a re-elected Labor government would spend $277 million to help people at risk of suicide.

And she said the Government would be willing to commit to a longer-term mental health plan, with the issue to be a second-term priority for Labor.

. . . Professor Mendoza has told ABC TV he is disappointed with today’s announcement.

“It’s well short of the mark,” he said.

“It’s not systemic reform. It fails the leadership test in my view.”

Brain and Mind Research Institute director Ian Hickie has told ABC News 24 the measures are just a big collection of small programs.

“It fails to go to real mental health reform,” he said. Read more »

LIBERAL CANDIDATE SACKED

Duckpond - July 25, 2010 - 6:11pm

The Liberal candidate for the safe Labor seat of Chifley, in Sydney has been sacked by the Leader of the Opposition for making anti-Muslim comments.

Three questions come to mind. What does the Liberal brand mean if it does not imply religious tolerance? How did such a person with bigoted and ignorant views about Muslims ever become a Liberal candidate, let alone join the Liberal party. Even ignorant views, as long as they are not intentionally hurtful, might be allowed within the ambit of freedom of speech as part of the wider democratic debate.

The Liberal Post, post John Howard, is as much, or even more, a conservative as much as it is liberal party. A replacement candidate has been put up. In this case, I doubt her candidature was endorsed by the rank and file party members.

ABC Online reports:

The sacked Liberal party candidate, David Barker, says he stands by anti-Islamic comments he made about his opponent in the Sydney seat of Chifley. Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG: TIME PASSAGES

Duckpond - July 23, 2010 - 11:12pm

The Earth turns, events and circumstances hold the attention and the sense of time passing eludes me like a shadow.  This week Sasha had one toe surgically removed.

Today,  with Dexter, I collected her from the vets.  On the way home she lost her bandage. She seems OK but hopefully she has not got an infection. All in all it was a very stressful experience. Knowing something of the background story makes the response with her in plastic collar all the more remarkable. Read more »

AFGHANS ARE HUMAN BEINGS

Duckpond - July 21, 2010 - 8:26pm

There is a real problem with these murderous wars waged supposedly to stop terrorism, but in their enactment using the methods of terrorism. It is so much easier to kill people if they are first dehumanized. So every story is important.

In this video from Brave New Films, via Rethink Afghanistan, Zaitullah Ghiasi Wardak describes the murder of his 92 year old father:

The human response is more important that feeling of revenge or assumptions of domination and superiority because the latter evoke further the spiral of violence. It might be worth remembering that Afghanistan is one of the world’s poorest countries. If we were decent human beings we would helping them, not killing them. Read more »

ELECTIONS ARE FOR CLIMATE DECISIONS?

Duckpond - July 19, 2010 - 10:01pm

What is to be done about climate change? Now that is the question.

OK, so our putative leaders are obsequious, if not gutless, in the face of those electors who they believe, probably rightly will determine their political future based on polling and secret focus group reports, but does that excuse us? What are we going to do? What are implications if the institutions of representative democracy, including elections, have ceased to be either substantive or deliberative?

Climate change may well become as mundane as mass starvation, mass migration and mass extermination over the next fifty to one hundred years, and perhaps sooner. So that is alarmist? I don’t expect to see linear yearly measured trends but the increase in CO(2) seems to fit the case. Carbon Dioxide is not the sole greenhouse gas increasing in the atmosphere. There may well be a large increase in methane if the Siberian Tundra melts, and if my memory if correct it is said that methane has seven times the effect of Carbon Dioxide. Read more »

MATCH ON: GILLARD V ABBOTT

Duckpond - July 17, 2010 - 11:06pm

Gosh, now you see what happens when a person does not pay attention to the intertubes, the Prime Minister goes and calls a Federal Election.

The horses have left the starting gates and the boxers are in the ring, and there was I blissfully unaware. I was caught up in the local drama of auction of the house next door, and a gathering of people at the front of our place. Here am I sweeping paths, taking the dogs out, helping with dinner – not much, but you get the idea. And now we have the Gillard and Abbott show across the wide brown land. Read more »

NEW MEDIA SKILLS AND COMPETENCIES

Duckpond - July 16, 2010 - 3:22pm

This internet/world wide web thing has a set of skills associated with it, and not just linking. What might they be?

When I am challenged to review my own skills, I tend to go blank. The best I think is that skills are related to directly to use of tools. Think of a hammer and knocking in nails and it is clear there is skillful execution or not – oh my thumb! This internet/world wide web thing has a set of skills associated with it, and not just linking.

What might they be? Fortunately others are on the case and here is what they say:

The interesting and important association is that made here between workers and citizens. Working and citizenship are connected. In corporatist dominated society because of the enactment of top-down control. The online technologies are changing activities, for example the buying and selling of houses. One senses that democracy must still be based on the meeting of people. Read more »

SAILING TO GAZA

Duckpond - July 14, 2010 - 3:37am

Israel has delivered an ultimatum to the Libyan aid ship to Gaza to divert to Egypt.

Unfortunately, neither the Turkish government or the legal representatives of countries involved in the previous convoy are prepared to the accept the conclusions of the Israel inquiry. Following up on their ultimatum, AFP/Reuters, via ABC Online News, reports that Israel has begun preparations to prevent the ship sailing to Gaza with its cargo of food and medical supplies.

Heading to el Arish, an Egyptian port near to the Gaza border may be a good option, if the Egyptian government would also agree to open the Rafah border crossing to let the aid through.

Israel presumes to control the sea and land borders of Gaza. Along the land borders they now have a spot and shoot system. Jonathan Cook writing in Counter Punch explains: Read more »

WINNING AND LOSING

Duckpond - July 11, 2010 - 11:05pm

Sport can do positive things, but winning does seem to matter. Despite the octopus, I think that it is likely that Spain has a fair chance of winning against Holland in the final of the Soccer World Cup.

According to the Spanish Ambassador they are the European champions, so that is the basis of my prediction. But should that happen the feel good factor, and the expressions of nationalism may have political consequences, momentary at least. According to Giles Tremblett for The Guardian:

Spaniards cannot recall an outpouring of national pride similar to that provoked by the country’s first-ever appearance in the World Cup final today. “Not since the Spanish civil war have there been so many flags in the streets,” El País newspaper reported as Madrid prepared for an all-night party if La Roja beat Holland in South Africa this evening. Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG: POET’S DAY

Duckpond - July 10, 2010 - 12:20am

For whatever reason, the people moving stuff around up the back left early. One theory was that it was poet’s day, which in the nature of translations broadly means leave early tomorrow is Saturday. Sasha and Dexter, with their canine configuration of sense always seem to want to linger longer.
Read more »

PERMANENT WAR

Duckpond - September 3, 2010 - 1:16am

President Obama one day was announcing that the Americans have withdrawn from broken, fractious and destitute Iraq.

The next day, or so it seems, he is continuing the pantomime of make belief peace efforts in the Middle East that supposedly see the Israelis give up their scheme to murder and dispossess the Palestinians. Some chance.

The president was given his peace laureate without achieving peace. A cynic might suggest that peace is not intended, nor for that matter justice, as violence and war sets the agenda. Norman Solomon describes the president’s presentation as “A Speech for Endless War”. He is not alone in identifying the pattern of perpetual war. For example, Philip Giraldi writes: Read more »

WHAT ELSE IS NEWS?

Duckpond - August 31, 2010 - 10:19pm

As was well said while we were celebrating our festival of democracy other significant events have occurred elsewhere on our planet.

I find these summaries of events very useful by pointing to developments that can be kept under review. Peter Hatcher provides the commentary at The Sydney Morning Herald:

. . . Seven of the most serious dramas have escalated. All pose major problems for the world and, yes, that includes our island.

The election campaign has shut out almost all of these crises, four of which are slow-motion geopolitical crises concentrated in a single country or region; another three are systemic and global. Read more »

ONWARD WITH A MINORITY GOVERNMENT

Duckpond - August 29, 2010 - 9:26pm

Trusting to the wisdom of the Australian people proved itself to be the right thing to do on election night.

Now the (six?) Independents have to ensure supply and confidence to whichever of the major parties they decide upon. I do not think another election is a serious option, if only because a caretaker government has in practice a limited timeframe. I doubt that would extend another five, six weeks, or longer.

The thing that concerns me is the possibility of paralysis. I am hoping this will not happen, although that is what happened to Labor. Now look at where they are. I have misgivings about Tony Abbott – I hope I am wrong. I am not convinced by Julia Gillard.

For the Media and its pen of commentators, I hope old Joh’s ghost will continue to feed them. Whatever, as long as they are not in my face.

As for nominating the Speaker, it seems to me Tony Windsor is the obvious candidate, even though he knocked it back the other night.

MHR seems to have gone out of fashion. Congratulations to Ken Wyatt as the first Indigenous MHR. Read more »

WAITING IS NOT A OPTION

Duckpond - August 29, 2010 - 12:50am

Next week we will probably have a government to replace the caretaker government but will we have a government prepared to act on Global Warming?
Read more »

SONG OF THE WEEK: RUN, RUN . . .

Duckpond - August 26, 2010 - 2:49pm

How the National Parliament has changed even before sitting. Tony Abbott has refused to supply the Liberal/National Coalition policies and election bribes for costing by Treasury. That appears to be an untenable position.

A song comes to mind, apparently a great favourite of Winston Churchill during the London Blitz:

The new multi-participatory Parliament is going to change the way that things are done – and others will be caught out in the future as Tony Abbott has been on this occasion. The interesting question is whether this is a deep change rather than a superficial one. I suspect that the Australian electorate will come to the like these results and that they will be more inclined to vote for independents, perhaps particularly in the Bush. Read more »

DEMOCRATIC EXCESS?

Duckpond - August 25, 2010 - 2:21am

Now the Senate paper is a very large document, requiring 95% of us to place the numeral one in one box.

In NSW there were 85 candidates listed in 32 groups spread along the paper. I think in my haste to go shopping in anticipation of watching the election results unfold that I entered my number in the right box. Most of the groups, according to the AEC received less than 1% of the total vote. So what might be done?

Raising barriers to entry, in turn opens questions about placing unnecessary impediments to participation in the democratic process, but the reality is that most of these groups will make in a State-wide Senate election. There policies will not be examined and explained to the broader group of voters. Read more »

IGNORANCE AND DENIALISM

Duckpond - August 22, 2010 - 11:04pm

. . . go together like a horse and carriage perhaps. I don’t know much about weather or climate either, but I do apprehend that weather phenomenon are related to heat and energy transfers.

That is way apparently small changes in mean temperature in the atmosphere or ocean can be so significant. Tim Lambert has dug up a contemporary video by Peter Sinclair on extreme weather events and the connection with the plant flood source, Carbon Dioxide:

I am looking forward to the day when the Climate Scientists get things really wrong, and that things are turning out contrary to what they declare to be the case. Oh! they accurately make observations and conduct experiments, so that they do not make bold assertions of how nature works, which gives them the unfair advantage that they can self correct. So unfair. Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG – DOWN AND OUT

Duckpond - August 20, 2010 - 11:59pm

It did not end with a wimper, but a grind. I had slipped over and broken my camera so that for the moment the dog blog is over.

From time to time, the dogs like to move forward, but that was not so much the problem, as not having good tread on my shoes. The remodeling of the old dam site up the back has finished with it mounds of earth, which removes a pathway. I am now walking through the bush with more obstacles. Read more »

PAKISTAN: INSUFFICIENT AID

Duckpond - August 19, 2010 - 12:14am

The flooding along the Indus River is reported to have directly affected 20 million people. Providing assistance to that number of people was always going to be a massive challenge, perhaps beyond the capacity of the Pakistan Government.

The Pakistan High Commissioner to the UK put the costs of rebuilding at between 10 to 15 billion US Dollars. Al Jareeza reports on the immediate needs, noting:

International aid is arriving too slowly for flood-ravaged Pakistan, and some aid organisations are beginning to run out of resources, the United Nations has said.

Donors have sent $184 million, roughly 40 per cent of the $450 million requested by the UN. An additional $43 million has been pledged. Read more »

PROCLAIM “SUCCESS” AND STAY

Duckpond - August 17, 2010 - 2:19am

Let us confidently move forward and never look back. Iraq has not unfortunately, despite the best intentions and the massive firepower, delivered victory, but we have achieved success in building large bases in a strategic region that we did not have before.

IN Salon Hannah Gurman reviews the moment of American disengagement from Iraq and as she says it is cast in terms of “success” rather than “victory”. It is an odd victory and a strange success. She writes:

In recent weeks, we have reached another historic juncture. The Iraq war, or at least the American military’s role in it, is drawing to a symbolic close. To mark this moment, the U.S. Ministry of Information has put its spin machine in high gear. Orwell would have had a field day with this one. He could not have invented a more Orwellian tale than the actual story of the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq. Read more »

INDUS FLOODING AND THE FUTURE

Duckpond - August 16, 2010 - 2:52am

The floods in Pakistan are reported to have left 20 million people homeless, in round figures equivalent to the population of Australia.

To emphasize how bad things are, the Prime Minister linked them to the likened the challenge to that of the Partition. In these situations the disaster is bad enough in terms on its immediate impact on the people involved, but often the secondary effects such as the spread of disease, the destruction of infrastructure, and the loss of food production may have a greater impact.

David Batty and Saeed Shah in The Independent described some of these implications and ramifications of the disaster:

The agricultural heartland has been wiped out, which will cause spiralling food prices and shortages. Many roads and irrigation canals have been destroyed, along with electricity supply infrastructure. Read more »

FISH AS CANARIES

Duckpond - August 14, 2010 - 3:20am

A study by the Commonwealth Research and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) indicates that fish types are moving southward along the East Coast of Australia in response to rise in ocean temperatures.

Sarah Clarke and Timothy McDonald reported for ABC News that fish are more responsive to warming waters that might be thought. South East Australia was also identified as a climate hot spot. Sarah Clarke’s report noted:

A new CSIRO study has found that climate change is driving a widespread number of fish south as the oceans warm.

The study found around 30 per cent of Australia’s inshore coastal fish families have been found outside their usual area.

And concluded:

CSIRO National Fish Collection spokesman Alistair Hobday says the consequences are not always positive. Read more »

CONFUSED ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE?

Duckpond - August 13, 2010 - 12:15am

Join the crowd it seems, if the members are made up politicians from all levels of government in Australia. Perhaps in this instance the politicians accurately represent the population.

70 per cent of the 300 politicians surveyed by the University of Queensland agreed that climate change was one of Australia’s major challenges. Margot O’Neil reported for ABC TV’s Lateline that while the majority of respondents identified that climate change was happening, they were uncertain about the consequences and the key indicators, such as rises in global mean temperature.

There was some cognitive dissonance involved:

For instance, 75 per cent of politicians believe the Great Barrier Reef is threatened by global warming, but only 55 per cent agree that ocean ecosystems are also threatened, even though the Great Barrier Reef is part of the ocean’s ecosystems. Read more »

RICE YIELDS AND TEMPERATURE

Duckpond - August 11, 2010 - 1:44am

In retrospect, our collective global inaction with respect to Global Warming will not be seen solely as the successful ability of deniers of rising temperatures around the world but a moral failure of political leadership.

This is particularly true in the context of the Australian General Election in which both major proponents are not committed to dealing with human-induced changes to the composition of the atmosphere, in particular the rising levels of Carbon Dioxide which in turn are precursors to increase in other greenhouse gases, such as water vapour and possibly methane. The optimistic possibility if such atmospheric changes are caused by human agency then the situation could be changed, if not immediately, at least in the longer term. Implicit in this possibility is the requirement of deliberative cooperation, which is a practical need for government. Government is never removed from moral issues. Talk of world government runs headlong into an ideological wall, so effective action which requires some form of political system may be a conceptual block. Read more »

CREDIBILITY & CLIMATE CHANGE

Duckpond - August 8, 2010 - 11:56pm

Public policy of climate change seems to have fallen off the electoral truck, especially following Julia Gillard’s proposal for a Citizen’s Assembly.

Dr Stephen Schneider, who died recently, said he and the consensus of climate scientist believed that rising levels of CO(2) in the Atmosphere could be identified with global warming with 95% certainty. A simple proposition might be suggested that when the atmosphere changes, it is likely the global climate changes. Dr Schneider was interviewed by Rick Pilz for Climate Science Watch. The transcript contains a more extended interview than You Tube:
Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG – TAKING IT EASY

Duckpond - August 7, 2010 - 12:46am

Until today, Sasha went out in the car, and Dexter went for a walk. Yesterday, most of Sasha’s stitches were taken out, but it was probably best to take things easy.

She had a sock and a boot, made from an old glove. The sock lasted but boot did not. It will work better when the fingers are cut off.  In the meantime, it is probably best to avoid gravel surfaces.

Dexter was quite happy to jump up on rocks and logs as usual. Read more »

AMERICA LEAVES AFGHANISTAN?

Duckpond - August 5, 2010 - 3:56am

It is a thought experiment. The question is: What would happen?

One likely prediction is that the treat of terrorism to Western countries would not increase, although war and barbarism on behalf of the occupiers has probably increased the long term threat of retaliation. There would likely be turmoil in Afghanistan, and more than likely a return to the situation ante with a Pashtun/Taliban government in the south and a Tariq government in the north.

It is the nature of imperialist interventions that leaving becomes problematic in terms of the hostilities that have been raised to higher levels because of the foreigners participation in the civil war and the picking of favorites among the occupied. The murdered Afghanis and Iraqis cannot be brought back to life, nor accorded justice; the dispossessed will still find hard, an in some cases impossible, to return to their homes. In these case, the native resistance to foreign domination, have the justification for their crimes of self defence. Read more »

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS

Duckpond - August 3, 2010 - 2:34am

The recent NOAA report confirming global warming implied that extreme weather events would occur as a consequence.

At the present time, we are witnessing as least two, and by accounts extraordinary, extreme weather events: the fires in Russia and the Pakistan floods. As these the outcomes of the rise in average global temperatures, or do they have other explanations?

The BBC reports on the Russian bushfire outbreaks:

Russians are bracing themselves for another week of high temperatures, with forecasts of up to 40C (104F) for central and southern regions. Officials also expect stronger winds in some regions, which will fan the flames. By Sunday night, wildfires were still raging across some 128,000 ha (316,000 acres). President Medvedev described the situation on Saturday as a “natural disaster of the kind that probably only happens every 30 or 40 years”. Read more »

AFGHANISTAN ACCOUNTABILITY

Duckpond - July 27, 2010 - 4:28am

The massive release of documents which number reportedly over 92,000 documents will take some time to digest. It is doubtful whether they will have any effect on the phony election that has been inflicted on Australia.

Paul McGeough gives his assessment at The Sydney Morning Herald:

However, the logs’ greater service to disclosure and transparency is the extent to which they reveal how the governments with troops in Afghanistan sanitise their public account of how badly the war has been going.

These are the raw accounts, soaked in the blood and sweat of combat, before they have been prettied up by the triage teams in the Washington and allied PR clinics. We knew there were civilian casualties, but not this many; we had heard of the secret CIA ground missions to assassinate Taliban leaders, now it is confirmed; we have had guarded reports on the use of unmanned drone aircraft in attacks on al-Qaeda and the Taliban, now the picture is fleshed out. Read more »

CONSEQUENCES OF OCCUPATION

Duckpond - July 25, 2010 - 12:02am

The consequences of  war of occupation in Iraq have come relatively quickly to light,  compared to Vietnam, and they also are likely to long term effects.

It is six years since  the city of Fallujah using chemicals including white phosphorus. Patrick Cockburn reports in The Independent:

Dramatic increases in infant mortality, cancer and leukaemia in the Iraqi city of Fallujah, which was bombarded by US Marines in 2004, exceed those reported by survivors of the atomic bombs that were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, according to a new study.

Iraqi doctors in Fallujah have complained since 2005 of being overwhelmed by the number of babies with serious birth defects, ranging from a girl born with two heads to paralysis of the lower limbs. They said they were also seeing far more cancers than they did before the battle for Fallujah between US troops and insurgents. Read more »

ISRAEL: US ASSET OR LIABILITY

Duckpond - July 23, 2010 - 3:49am

Chas Freeman, as you might recall is one of those on the growing list of people demonized and demoted because of the sin of political correctness during the Obama Administration. However, he seems to know his stuff, and prepared a considered answer to the question posed by The Nixon Centre (via War in Context)

One conclusion to be drawn from Chas Freeman’s discussion might be that political donations from wealthy corporate and private sponsors effectively undermine the democratic process – as true in Australia as anywhere else. This money is recycled into the pockets of the owners of the televisions stations, which in the US are owned by the arms manufacturers (or so I am lead to believe). The solution is easy – turn off the television set.

The whole war of terror was manufactured in Israel, or so it seems. Freeman notes: Read more »

WORK CHOICES

Duckpond - July 20, 2010 - 10:10am

Gerald Henderson, columnist at The Sydney Morning Herald, seems to have finally got over the Cold War, but not the class war.

He is suggesting that rise in the minimum wage is excluding unskilled workers with lower levels of numeracy and literacy from obtaining jobs. Gerald Henderson observes:

There has been a disturbing rise in youth, long-term and regional unemployment during the Rudd-Gillard government. Clare [Parliamentary Secretary for Employment] suggested poor education was responsible in western Sydney. This is no help for teenage and mature workers who are out of work. [Labor Senator]Arbib says the solution to youth employment is “to keep stimulating the economy”. But Australia has had a big economic stimulus package already. Read more »

FLEETING PM’S

Duckpond - July 19, 2010 - 3:19am

What does a prime minister have to do to qualify amongst those with least time in office?

History suggests a number of options, but Julia Gillard has potentially set the stage. If the ALP is voted out at 21 August election, she will then have served 58 days and she would be the fifth-shortest serving PM.

Just for the historical record, Melissa Singer sets out the precedents in The Sydney Morning Herald:

Since Federation, only four other prime ministers have served for less time than the 58 days Gillard would have spent as leader if she loses to Tony Abbott. Arthur Fadden, who found himself promoted to the leadership following the departure of Robert Menzies, left office after just 40 days, earning himself the nickname “the flood”. Read more »

FRIDAY NIGHT DOG BLOG: NO COMPLAINTS

Duckpond - July 17, 2010 - 12:32am

We would rather be walking somewhere else, but going up to the dam along the track is not too bad.

We get to see the ducks in the dam from a distance, and sometimes they take flight. Dexter jumps up on the rocks. Sasha keeps to the ground. She has growth on her foot, which is probably cancer. She has been having various tests. For some reasons the vets were disinclined to decapitate her toe, by removing the top joint.


Read more »

FRENCH BURGA BAN

Duckpond - July 15, 2010 - 12:30am

213 years after the storming of the Bastille, the parliament of the French Republic looks now to ban the veils that cover most of the face. Out of a population of 64 million of which 5 million people are Muslim and it is believed that less than 2,000 women wear the burga.

The proposed legislation is officially called, “the bill to forbid concealing one’s face in public”, and various fines are attached. A person who wears a burga or similar face covering could be fined 150 Euros, and required to attend citizenship classes. It gets tougher if a person forces another to wear such head covering where the fine is 30,000 Euros and one year in prison, and that double if the wearer is a minor.

I imagine the whole question of what constitutes a full coverage of the face has been specified. Apparently the law would not discriminate against veils. And the claim is made that the law would apply to everybody. Nevertheless exceptions have had to be made for motorcycle helmets, and the wearing of masks for health reasons, fencing and carnivals. Read more »

GUNFIRE ON THE BORDER

Duckpond - July 13, 2010 - 12:29am

Ethnic cleansing has a strong emotional connotation, but it seems to be the underlying premise of Israeli policy, as it is the express intention of the Zionist project. If you doubt this statement, watch this video, via Al Jazeera:


Events have to be seen in context, and in a report such as this such an explanation is not complete. We can nevertheless make factual observations. No doubt there is a rationalization for the Israelis behavior along the lines of attacks from Gaza, but it does not justify the behavior or the policies. These perhaps are the reports that are seen more often presented to Arab audiences. What the Israelis do is seen as having the imprimatur of the Americans, and by extension other Western Governments including Australia. Despite the presence of the human shields, the Israeli soldiers keep on firing their weapons. Read more »

A SHORT NOTE (NOT THE SHOPPING LIST)

Duckpond - July 10, 2010 - 10:24pm

War has many uses, one of which is to concentrate power around the centre and the holders of executive power.

In part that is the way bureaucratic systems work in an emergency. But there are downsides, and so what might be done to mitigate the effects.

Words of caution could often come from few sources. On 27 June 1940, Clementine Churchill sent a note to her husband, via Brad DeLong:

My Darling,

I hope you will forgive me if I tell you something I reel you ought to know. Read more »