Kevin Rudd

Hung, drawn and quartered?

Skepticlawyer - August 22, 2010 - 8:27pm

The outcome of the 2010 Federal Election is fascinating. The Liberal National Party have 71 seats, Labor has 70 seats, the Greens have 1 seat (their first ever won in a General Election), and other independents have 3. It looks like Labor is better placed to form a minority government, but we’ll wait and see. It’s an extraordinary result. I wouldn’t be surprised if many people wished for a plague on both their houses; I know that I did. I’m no political commentator, I’m not a member of any particular political party, and my observations are strictly those of an interested bystander who has a lot of friends with different political views. Read more »

The Treasurers’ debate

Larvatus Prodeo - August 9, 2010 - 11:13am

Today, we have Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey going head to head at the National Press Club at lunch time. I won’t be watching it, because I have a full time job and I’m at work. That’s the problem with these things – the audience is small, but they do have their importance in changing the topic of the campaign conversation, and Labor won’t be unhappy if we do get a focus on the economy.

There are three areas I think Swan should challenge Hockey on: Read more »

Putting the tragic back in political tragic

Larvatus Prodeo - August 7, 2010 - 7:16pm

Originally published at the ABC’s Drumroll campaign blog.

I’ve been largely tuned out of the election campaign today, enjoying a friend’s visit and popping into town to buy a couple of books to read. So I’ve only seen two snippets of coverage – a journo, Nick Harmsen, on ABC News 24 proclaiming that Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard’s body language at their meeting today would be “fascinating” (oh, really?) and glimpsing at my feed reader and seeing a photo of Mark Latham at the Prime Minister’s press conference. Apparently he’s a “guest reporter” for 60 Minutes.

No doubt he will be rewarded appropriately.

Contrast Latham’s involvement in this campaign with that of Paul Keating and Malcolm Fraser.

Keating gave a thoughtful and challenging speech in Melbourne this week on the media and the right to privacy. Malcolm Fraser chose the anniversary of the Hiroshima bomb to plead for better measures to confront nuclear proliferation. Read more »

The Kevin10 factor

Larvatus Prodeo - August 5, 2010 - 8:33pm

Originally published at The Drumroll.

I made some observations about Kevin Rudd’s return to the campaign foray in Crikey today, and in particular its implications in Queensland, but I wanted to add four points on today’s developments.

(a) We may be heading for a twist in the narrative. It rumbled on today, but any “distraction” from Kevin Rudd’s re-entry into the fray was a net positive for Labor; Read more »

Rudd’s words won’t hurt Labor, but it’s about more than hurt feelings

Larvatus Prodeo - August 5, 2010 - 4:52pm

From today’s Crikey email:

Former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd last night gave an interview to Phillip Adams on Late Night Live.

This morning, Brisbane’s sole metropolitan newspaper characterised his successor Julia Gillard’s response as an apology to Queenslanders for hurting their feelings.

It’s a funny way to characterise the reception of the Labor leadership change. Read more »

Your poll-free guide to the state of the seats in Queensland

Larvatus Prodeo - August 20, 2010 - 2:46pm

Published in today’s Crikey email:

We’re drowning in polls at the moment, and rumours of polls.

I’ve been writing in recent days about the futility of over-interpreting polls, and it’s also been suggested that the key to divining this election may lie in ancient Etruscan wisdom. Read more »

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

Larvatus Prodeo - August 8, 2010 - 11:13pm

… reports William Bowe, via GhostWhoVotes on Twitter.

This poll was taken after the Kevin10 announcement on Thursday, and the Coalition increasingly embarking on a front-runner’s strategy, reinforced in today’s campaign launch.

It’s up from 50-50 last time, and as with all Newspolls taken during the campaign, has a sample of 1700 and thus a smaller margin of error than other polls.

Primaries are Labor 38 (+1), Coalition 42 (-2), Greens 13 (+1).

Guest post by Pavlov’s Cat: Sorry Annabel, not good enough

Larvatus Prodeo - August 7, 2010 - 6:39pm

Originally published at Still Life With Cat:

The ABC’s Annabel Crabb published a long, informative, entertaining piece at The Drum the other day, characteristically witty and meaty, in defence of journalists and their current behaviour and reportage on the campaign trail.

Much of what she is says is fair enough. But nothing she says can possibly excuse what I’ve just heard on the radio.

I got into the car and turned on the radio and there was Julia Gillard in Queensland, mid-speech, announcing the Government’s seniors policy, after what I imagine was a somewhat stressful morning meeting Kevin Rudd for the first time since she became Prime Minister. The seniors stuff sounded pretty good, mainly the improvements to the pension situation but also several other things. Jenny Macklin followed up. And then it was time for questions. Read more »

The view from Channel Nine X

Larvatus Prodeo - August 5, 2010 - 7:16pm

Continuing an irregular series commenting on how the election looks to commercial tv viewers: commercial free to air is the biggest single source of information for voters.

It’s Ekka time, which means Brisbane Channel Nine is broadcasting from the Exhibition Ground, but this sign of local parochialism didn’t mean that Kevin Rudd’s return to the campaign trail led the bulletin. Instead, it was number six. The apprehension of a murder suspect, a woman upset because her ambulance call was not seen as priority, given that her baby’s condition wasn’t life threatening, and sundry other matters. Read more »

Julia Gillard’s response to Kevin Rudd’s interview

Larvatus Prodeo - August 5, 2010 - 10:03am

The Courier-Mail this morning is characterising Julia Gillard’s response to Kevin Rudd’s interview last night as an apology to Queenslanders for hurt feelings. I’ll have more to say about that in a piece for Crikey later today, but in the meantime, I’d just observe that’s a strange way of conceptualising the impact of the Rudd factor on the ALP’s electoral prospects in Queensland.